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Condo to Freehold in Brantford: Why Timing Your Sale Matters

Posted by Matt Allman on January 21, 2025
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Deciding when to sell your condo can feel like a strategic game of chess, especially if your end goal is to “upgrade” to a freehold home. With Brantford’s real estate market showing strong correlations between condo and freehold prices, the timing of your sale can significantly impact your buying power. Waiting for condo prices to rise might seem smart, but could it cost you more when freehold prices increase? Let’s break down the geek stuff to uncover the best strategy for your move.

Matt’s Stats

  • Correlation: Freehold and condo prices in Brantford show a strong 97% positive correlation over the years.
  • Price Sensitivity: Condo prices are more volatile than freeholds, responding sharply to market shifts.
  • Months of Inventory: A crucial indicator of market conditions, calculated as active listings divided by monthly sales.

The Raw Data: Average Price, CDOM, Sales and more for Condos and Freehold Properties in Brantford

MonthAverage Price_CondoSales Count_CondoActive Listings_CondoMedian Price_CondoAverage Price_FreeholdCDOM_CondoSales Count_FreeholdActive Listings_FreeholdMedian Price_FreeholdCDOM_Freehold
Jan 2020$327,950.001434$316,950.00$452,545.004391122$428,000.0049
Feb 2020$328,576.001730$313,000.00$463,997.004297118$440,000.0041
Mar 2020$287,189.001831$272,500.00$486,453.0032126148$467,500.0026
Apr 2020$310,179.00930$300,111.00$465,674.002767176$450,000.0023
May 2020$316,895.001732$305,000.00$454,869.0042118144$433,500.0031
Jun 2020$316,497.002928$309,900.00$505,288.0030161144$510,000.0030
Jul 2020$343,248.002927$330,000.00$543,432.0035180130$515,000.0024
Aug 2020$390,450.002234$359,000.00$534,753.0028167151$510,000.0017
Sep 2020$353,594.003521$337,000.00$527,926.0022173133$510,000.0016
Oct 2020$348,330.002816$317,500.00$540,196.001618786$520,000.0016
Nov 2020$375,124.002511$360,000.00$546,733.002013772$530,000.0016
Dec 2020$326,990.00104$290,000.00$558,076.00138747$561,000.0014
Jan 2021$417,472.0078$382,000.00$617,289.0079951$599,900.0019
Feb 2021$420,835.001712$390,000.00$678,016.00714673$655,760.0010
Mar 2021$459,851.002218$435,500.00$654,927.00818791$620,000.008
Apr 2021$465,638.002918$445,000.00$646,666.0017202135$615,000.009
May 2021$454,678.003018$443,000.00$673,256.0014218129$631,050.0012
Jun 2021$433,747.002623$432,500.00$656,856.0017183134$650,000.0013
Jul 2021$474,853.001523$470,000.00$672,854.0013146103$647,450.0016
Aug 2021$482,245.002222$475,000.00$693,036.002613192$670,501.0016
Sep 2021$493,120.002834$468,400.00$679,480.00914092$660,516.0013
Oct 2021$465,806.003124$430,000.00$705,685.002014478$674,400.0016
Nov 2021$471,475.002011$466,500.00$766,003.001613354$735,000.0012
Dec 2021$493,187.00117$480,000.00$777,621.00407719$715,500.0014
Jan 2022$496,192.00138$495,000.00$855,661.002510650$825,500.0010
Feb 2022$530,195.00229$505,000.00$863,092.001316363$825,000.008
Mar 2022$579,348.003115$558,600.00$847,155.007140123$800,000.009
Apr 2022$569,762.002120$585,000.00$792,656.0011171166$760,000.009
May 2022$597,556.001835$572,500.00$750,556.0017127229$710,000.0014
Jun 2022$523,340.001048$501,750.00$693,237.0021138235$660,000.0019
Jul 2022$569,431.001647$535,000.00$667,664.003683252$655,000.0025
Aug 2022$490,993.001559$470,000.00$703,935.002895236$670,000.0033
Sep 2022$481,762.002660$474,500.00$648,754.004392231$619,000.0038
Oct 2022$450,500.001754$475,000.00$640,140.005966216$617,500.0038
Nov 2022$441,950.001053$453,000.00$627,715.005761191$625,000.0038
Dec 2022$452,938.001340$450,000.00$603,082.004957137$600,000.0042
Jan 2023$524,462.001349$538,000.00$673,461.008262149$653,500.0037
Feb 2023$453,822.001856$412,500.00$643,005.002682160$617,500.0048
Mar 2023$475,307.002951$429,000.00$682,796.0042106172$650,000.0034
Apr 2023$471,936.002539$480,000.00$678,565.0067133170$668,000.0036
May 2023$563,091.002252$565,100.00$735,971.0053156195$710,500.0021
Jun 2023$507,130.003055$499,500.00$686,059.0051132242$660,500.0021
Jul 2023$481,027.002042$450,500.00$701,015.003199286$650,000.0026
Aug 2023$515,571.001448$496,000.00$663,537.0052119257$630,000.0042
Sep 2023$505,417.001859$492,000.00$669,464.004281288$660,000.0044
Oct 2023$463,809.001268$456,200.00$685,902.0059105279$681,000.0045
Nov 2023$398,154.001363$365,000.00$631,767.004768250$592,500.0048
Dec 2023$489,975.00850$427,500.00$683,291.006153173$635,000.0044
Jan 2024$497,742.001259$505,000.00$665,452.008563185$615,000.0062
Feb 2024$504,394.001856$537,500.00$644,167.006978201$637,000.0052
Mar 2024$472,992.001961$425,000.00$637,390.0059105211$615,000.0037
Apr 2024$508,728.001876$480,000.00$688,871.0090135234$663,500.0031
May 2024$465,250.001882$486,000.00$649,569.0071118267$629,050.0036
Jun 2024$497,313.001682$494,950.00$669,805.0044112285$641,750.0031
Jul 2024$439,235.002082$425,000.00$660,666.009289333$622,500.0033
Aug 2024$418,527.001192$379,900.00$633,487.0060103317$612,000.0038
Sep 2024$466,132.001995$405,000.00$653,418.005485341$645,000.0048
Oct 2024$520,867.0015107$450,000.00$666,584.006196339$617,500.0049
Nov 2024$496,292.001494$492,500.00$677,707.0010594261$657,000.0051
Dec 2024$516,100.001077$560,000.00$631,577.004574194$618,750.0071

Understanding the Price Correlation Between Brantford Condo and Freehold Properties

The stats from Brantford’s market demonstrates that when freehold prices rise, condo prices tend to follow suit. This parallel movement is driven by shared market factors, such as interest rates, supply constraints, and buyer demand. While condos are generally more affordable, they are also more sensitive to price changes, which can lead to sharper increases when demand spikes.

For example, during 2021, both freehold and condo prices in Brantford experienced their largest year-over-year increases, fueled by historically low interest rates and tight inventory. However, waiting for condo prices to climb further in such a market often means paying more for the freehold home you plan to buy.

The Cost of Waiting to Move from Condo to Freehold in Brantford

While it’s tempting to wait for condo prices to heat up, here’s the catch: rising freehold prices can outpace the gains in your condo’s value. Let’s illustrate this with some data-driven insights:

  • Freehold Premiums: The average price of a freehold home in Brantford in 2023 was approximately $650,000, while condos averaged $450,000. A 5% increase in both markets would add $22,500 to your condo’s value but $32,500 to the cost of the freehold home.
  • Months of Inventory: If months of inventory for freeholds is low (e.g., 1-2 months), competition among buyers will likely push prices higher faster. For condos, a higher inventory might stabilize prices temporarily, but the lag won’t last long if demand rises.

For additional insights on price variations across neighbourhoods, check out Brantford Neighbourhood Median Sale Prices and further statistical information from CREA: Understanding Market Trends in Brantford Real Estate.

A Case for Selling Now

Market conditions in Brantford suggest that acting sooner rather than later may be advantageous if you’re planning to transition from a condo to a freehold. Here’s why:

  1. Lower Freehold Prices: Selling now while freehold prices are relatively stable means you can lock in a more affordable purchase.
  2. Condos Hold Demand: Brantford’s condo market remains appealing to first-time buyers and downsizers, maintaining solid demand despite price fluctuations.
  3. Flexibility: By selling your condo sooner, you gain the financial flexibility to act quickly if the right freehold home becomes available.
Condo to Freehold in Brantford- Trends in Average Prices in Brantford, ON
Condo to Freehold in Brantford- Trends in Average Prices in Brantford, ON

What the Numbers Say About Timing a Condo to Freehold Move in Brantford

To further illustrate this point, consider the current months of inventory in Brantford:

  • Freeholds: 1.5 months (indicative of a seller’s market with rising prices).
  • Condos: 3 months (a more balanced market with moderate price increases).

In a seller’s market, the longer you wait, the more likely you are to face higher competition and escalating prices for freehold homes.

If you’re in a similar situation—debating whether to sell your condo to buy a freehold home—I can help you navigate the market with a data-driven approach. Let’s have a chat about what you are looking to do, and we’ll create the best strategy to maximize your buying power.

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